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The thin line between investing and gambling

The thin line between investing and gambling

Ben Graham was born in England and moved with his family to the US when he was 1 year old. His father took the family to New York to set up a new branch of a successful family business. This was far from the prototypical immigrant experience. His family was wealthy and moved to 5th Avenue in a house staffed by domestic servants. This lifestyle would ...
Are we running out of gold?

Are we running out of gold?

Mined gold production reached a record high in 2025, based on our 2025 Gold Demand Trends report(Chart 1). Global miners produced 3,672 tonnes of gold, a modest year-on-year increase of 1% and the highest in our data series – albeit this may be subject to revisions when more data becomes available.[1] And we expect mined gold production to further ...
Policy setting in democracies

Policy setting in democracies

Energy and climate policy in this country continues to divide many in the electorate and has been at the forefront of political debate for several decades now. Recently, I argued that current policy is leading us down a path of ‘duplication’ as opposed to a path of genuine energy ‘substitution’. I was implying that policy is top heavy in the pursuit of ...
Take my money and lie to me… again

Take my money and lie to me… again

This will be the third time I’ve written specifically about private assets under the “take my money and lie to me” title, and honestly, I wish I didn’t have to do it. The first time I did so, in December of 2022, a large Canadian mortgage lender with a sterling reputation decided that they would suspend redemptions on a fund that was marketed to ...
Australia was once a world leader in innovation, now the system is ‘broken’

Australia was once a world leader in innovation, now the system is ‘broken’

Australia’s research and innovation system is “broken” and needs “bold reform”, according to a major new independent report released on Tuesday. Titled “Ambitious Australia”, it’s the culmination of a strategic examination of research and development in Australia, commissioned by the federal government in December 2024. It was led by Tesla chairwoman ...
Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 654

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 654

The annual UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook offers an opportunity to take a step back from the daily news cycle and reflect on drivers of returns over the long-term. This is always a valuable exercise for investors. Beating inflation over the long-term In times of geo-political tensions, it can be easy to move to ‘safer’ investments. The ...
3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger

3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger

Intergenerational bickering continues and with over 50% of voters in the Gen Z and Millennial cohorts, Canberra is listening to the grievances from young Australians. Allegra Spender the independent member for Wentworth released a 75-page tax reform white paper and Treasurer Jim Chalmers has announced there will be significant tax changes included in ...
Why an extended US-Iran war will punish mortgage holders

Why an extended US-Iran war will punish mortgage holders

For all the talk of energy transitions, oil and gas markets remain at the centre of the global economy. When oil and gas are cheap, inflation is low and growth is strong. When they rise sharply, the opposite usually follows. That matters for Australia because oil and gas are becoming more expensive as the US escalates its war with Iran. Reflecting ...
Don’t forget the yield

Don’t forget the yield

GLI dividend yields attractive in absolute terms and relative to history For over twenty years, the global listed infrastructure asset class (GLI) has consistently generated dividend yields in the 3%-4% range. As valuation multiples have declined in the past few years, dividend yields have expanded into the upper half of this range. The sustainability ...

The thin line between investing and gambling

The thin line between investing and gambling
Ben Graham was born in England and moved with his family to the US when he was 1 year old. His father took the family to New York to set up a new branch of a successful family business. This was far from the prototypical immigrant experience. His family was wealthy and moved to 5th Avenue in a house staffed by domestic servants. This lifestyle would ...

Are we running out of gold?

Are we running out of gold?
Mined gold production reached a record high in 2025, based on our 2025 Gold Demand Trends report(Chart 1). Global miners produced 3,672 tonnes of gold, a modest year-on-year increase of 1% and the highest in our data series – albeit this may be subject to revisions when more data becomes available.[1] And we expect mined gold production to further ...

Policy setting in democracies

Policy setting in democracies
Energy and climate policy in this country continues to divide many in the electorate and has been at the forefront of political debate for several decades now. Recently, I argued that current policy is leading us down a path of ‘duplication’ as opposed to a path of genuine energy ‘substitution’. I was implying that policy is top heavy in the pursuit of ...

Take my money and lie to me… again

Take my money and lie to me… again
This will be the third time I’ve written specifically about private assets under the “take my money and lie to me” title, and honestly, I wish I didn’t have to do it. The first time I did so, in December of 2022, a large Canadian mortgage lender with a sterling reputation decided that they would suspend redemptions on a fund that was marketed to ...

Australia was once a world leader in innovation, now the system is ‘broken’

Australia was once a world leader in innovation, now the system is ‘broken’
Australia’s research and innovation system is “broken” and needs “bold reform”, according to a major new independent report released on Tuesday. Titled “Ambitious Australia”, it’s the culmination of a strategic examination of research and development in Australia, commissioned by the federal government in December 2024. It was led by Tesla chairwoman ...

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 654

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 654
The annual UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook offers an opportunity to take a step back from the daily news cycle and reflect on drivers of returns over the long-term. This is always a valuable exercise for investors. Beating inflation over the long-term In times of geo-political tensions, it can be easy to move to ‘safer’ investments. The ...

3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger

3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger
Intergenerational bickering continues and with over 50% of voters in the Gen Z and Millennial cohorts, Canberra is listening to the grievances from young Australians. Allegra Spender the independent member for Wentworth released a 75-page tax reform white paper and Treasurer Jim Chalmers has announced there will be significant tax changes included in ...

Why an extended US-Iran war will punish mortgage holders

Why an extended US-Iran war will punish mortgage holders
For all the talk of energy transitions, oil and gas markets remain at the centre of the global economy. When oil and gas are cheap, inflation is low and growth is strong. When they rise sharply, the opposite usually follows. That matters for Australia because oil and gas are becoming more expensive as the US escalates its war with Iran. Reflecting ...

Don’t forget the yield

Don’t forget the yield
GLI dividend yields attractive in absolute terms and relative to history For over twenty years, the global listed infrastructure asset class (GLI) has consistently generated dividend yields in the 3%-4% range. As valuation multiples have declined in the past few years, dividend yields have expanded into the upper half of this range. The sustainability ...