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The Ozempic moment for SaaS

The Ozempic moment for SaaS

The Ozempic moment for SaaS (software as a service) refers to a pivotal disruption scenario where a transformative technology threatens to erode or fundamentally reshape an established market leader’s core business model, much like the hype around Ozempic (and other GLP-1 drugs like Wegovy) did to ResMed (ASX:RMD) around 2023. Back in mid-2023, as ...
Meg on SMSFs: Last word on Div 296 for a while

Meg on SMSFs: Last word on Div 296 for a while

I promise this will be my last article for a while on Division 296 tax (the proposed new tax for people with more than $3 million in super). There are other interesting things to talk about when it comes to super. But with so much commentary about the need to ‘do something’ to respond to the new tax, I wanted to throw my thoughts into the mix. A ...
Seismic shifts that could drive private markets

Seismic shifts that could drive private markets

In the midst of the public market run-up of the last three years, private equity has advanced, but not to the extent that investors have previously been accustomed. Off the highs of 2021, slow dealmaking has limited ‘exits’ from portfolios, fostering an attractive opportunity for liquidity-oriented strategies, such as general partner-led ‘continuation’ ...
Corporations are winning the stock market. Here’s a new plan for everyone else

Corporations are winning the stock market. Here’s a new plan for everyone else

Retail investing has undergone a seismic shift in recent years, with individual investors now accounting for a growing share of market activity. R. David McLean, Jeffrey Pontiff, and Christopher Reilly, authors of the study “Taking Sides on Return Predictability,” published in the November 2025 issue of The Journal of Financial Economics, examined how ...
The bull case for Melbourne

The bull case for Melbourne

Last month, Treasury’s Population Statement predicted that Melbourne will overtake Sydney as Australia’s largest city in little more than a decade. That optimistic outlook cuts against today’s prevailing narrative: that Melbourne is the capital of a failing state defined by its strained public finances, COVID hangover and an opposition obsessed with ...
Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 649

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 649

As many Firstlinks’ readers are aware James Gruber departed for a new opportunity at CommSec. I’m extremely grateful for everything James has done and his stewardship of Firstlinks. It is never easy to follow a founder and I’m proud of how James continued and expanded upon Graham’s legacy. That legacy is front of mind for me as the temporary custodian ...
Is there a better way to reform the CGT discount?

Is there a better way to reform the CGT discount?

One of the more controversial parts of our tax system – the capital gains tax discount – is currently under review in Canberra as part of a Greens-run Senate inquiry. The discount means that taxpayers who hold an asset for more than one year pay tax on only half of their gains. Most submissions to the Senate inquiry have focused on the level of the ...
It’s okay if house prices drop

It’s okay if house prices drop

Australia enters 2026 with its three largest cities each having an average house price of over $1 million. It’s frustrating for young Aussies like me looking to buy their first home. But it’s also the unsurprising outcome of a persistent, decades-long myth: that falling house prices are electorally fatal. Prime Minister John Howard set the tone ...
Investment bonds for intergenerational wealth transfer

Investment bonds for intergenerational wealth transfer

What is an investment bond? Investment bonds are pooled investments, like managed funds, which can be invested across a variety of asset classes to create diversification. One of the important differences between an investment bond and a managed fund, is that investment bonds are tax-paid. That means tax is paid on the earnings of the underlying ...
Why switching to income may make sense in 2026

Why switching to income may make sense in 2026

2025 was another great year for equity investors, the third year in a row where the ASX 300 returned more than 10%1. All investors want the good times to keep rolling, but the longer they do and the higher valuations creep the closer we are to an inevitable market correction. Investors that want to de-risk their portfolios might be tempted to sell out. ...

The Ozempic moment for SaaS

The Ozempic moment for SaaS
The Ozempic moment for SaaS (software as a service) refers to a pivotal disruption scenario where a transformative technology threatens to erode or fundamentally reshape an established market leader’s core business model, much like the hype around Ozempic (and other GLP-1 drugs like Wegovy) did to ResMed (ASX:RMD) around 2023. Back in mid-2023, as ...

Meg on SMSFs: Last word on Div 296 for a while

Meg on SMSFs: Last word on Div 296 for a while
I promise this will be my last article for a while on Division 296 tax (the proposed new tax for people with more than $3 million in super). There are other interesting things to talk about when it comes to super. But with so much commentary about the need to ‘do something’ to respond to the new tax, I wanted to throw my thoughts into the mix. A ...

Seismic shifts that could drive private markets

Seismic shifts that could drive private markets
In the midst of the public market run-up of the last three years, private equity has advanced, but not to the extent that investors have previously been accustomed. Off the highs of 2021, slow dealmaking has limited ‘exits’ from portfolios, fostering an attractive opportunity for liquidity-oriented strategies, such as general partner-led ‘continuation’ ...

Corporations are winning the stock market. Here’s a new plan for everyone else

Corporations are winning the stock market. Here’s a new plan for everyone else
Retail investing has undergone a seismic shift in recent years, with individual investors now accounting for a growing share of market activity. R. David McLean, Jeffrey Pontiff, and Christopher Reilly, authors of the study “Taking Sides on Return Predictability,” published in the November 2025 issue of The Journal of Financial Economics, examined how ...

The bull case for Melbourne

The bull case for Melbourne
Last month, Treasury’s Population Statement predicted that Melbourne will overtake Sydney as Australia’s largest city in little more than a decade. That optimistic outlook cuts against today’s prevailing narrative: that Melbourne is the capital of a failing state defined by its strained public finances, COVID hangover and an opposition obsessed with ...

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 649

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 649
As many Firstlinks’ readers are aware James Gruber departed for a new opportunity at CommSec. I’m extremely grateful for everything James has done and his stewardship of Firstlinks. It is never easy to follow a founder and I’m proud of how James continued and expanded upon Graham’s legacy. That legacy is front of mind for me as the temporary custodian ...

Is there a better way to reform the CGT discount?

Is there a better way to reform the CGT discount?
One of the more controversial parts of our tax system – the capital gains tax discount – is currently under review in Canberra as part of a Greens-run Senate inquiry. The discount means that taxpayers who hold an asset for more than one year pay tax on only half of their gains. Most submissions to the Senate inquiry have focused on the level of the ...

It’s okay if house prices drop

It’s okay if house prices drop
Australia enters 2026 with its three largest cities each having an average house price of over $1 million. It’s frustrating for young Aussies like me looking to buy their first home. But it’s also the unsurprising outcome of a persistent, decades-long myth: that falling house prices are electorally fatal. Prime Minister John Howard set the tone ...

Investment bonds for intergenerational wealth transfer

Investment bonds for intergenerational wealth transfer
What is an investment bond? Investment bonds are pooled investments, like managed funds, which can be invested across a variety of asset classes to create diversification. One of the important differences between an investment bond and a managed fund, is that investment bonds are tax-paid. That means tax is paid on the earnings of the underlying ...

Why switching to income may make sense in 2026

Why switching to income may make sense in 2026
2025 was another great year for equity investors, the third year in a row where the ASX 300 returned more than 10%1. All investors want the good times to keep rolling, but the longer they do and the higher valuations creep the closer we are to an inevitable market correction. Investors that want to de-risk their portfolios might be tempted to sell out. ...