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Does an American retirement rule work for Australians?

Does an American retirement rule work for Australians?

Stay committed to your decisions, but stay flexible in your approach.- Tony Robbins Last week I proposed a scorecard for retirement where readers could self-assess their retirement prospects using four criteria: Understanding the maths of retirement Knowing how much you will spend Estimating how much you need to support annual spending Defining an ...
Three common sense reforms that Australia needs

Three common sense reforms that Australia needs

“I’m from the government, and I’m here to help you.” These are the most terrifying words in the English language, according to former US President Ronald Reagan. And you can see why as Australians grapple with changes to credit card surcharges. The incoming ban was supposed to save consumers $1.56 billion, but businesses such as restaurants and coffee ...
The hidden cost of government debt for investors

The hidden cost of government debt for investors

Rising government debt doesn't just affect taxpayers. It can reduce the number of takeovers, discourage corporate investment and weigh on the returns of the very blue-chip companies many investors own. Investors watch the Reserve Bank closely, and with good reason. Last month it lifted the cash rate for the fourth time this year, to 4.6%. Canberra ...
When do fundamentals matter?

When do fundamentals matter?

When people describe the reason for share price moves or shifts in bond yields, it is almost always in fundamental terms. As if every time a new piece of market-relevant information is released, investors are hurriedly updating their valuation models. This gives a pleasing sense of order to the fluctuations of financial markets, but is a poor ...
Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 684

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 684

One of the less glamorous aspects of working in financial services is the sheer volume of emails you receive. Most promise market insights 'too important to ignore', which is generally a reliable sign they can be ignored immediately. I also have a habit of opening ones I probably shouldn't. Outside of phishing attempts and the occasional Nigerian ...
2026 is not 1999

2026 is not 1999

The US market is extremely concentrated, and the bears say 2026 could be 1999 all over again. As in the dot-com boom, a new technology promises to change everything and capital spending is enormous. The Magnificent 7 plus Broadcom, AMD and Micron, the ‘AI Big 10’, now account for 42% of US stock market value. At the height of the dot-com bubble in ...
Taxing time for trusts

Taxing time for trusts

Discretionary trusts have long been a cornerstone of wealth planning. Proposed tax changes may require a rethink, but not necessarily a rebuild. If your family uses a discretionary trust and a bucket company, the post-Budget headlines have been difficult to ignore: "30% minimum tax", "double taxation", and warnings of effective rates above the top ...
Why the US economy is stronger than you might think

Why the US economy is stronger than you might think

If you had told me a year ago that the United States would be waging an intractable war in the Middle East, oil prices would rise to more than $100 a barrel, interest rates would be moving sharply higher, and inflation would be running well above 3%, my forecast for the US economy would have been gloomy to say the least. Yet here we are with consensus ...

Does an American retirement rule work for Australians?

Does an American retirement rule work for Australians?
Stay committed to your decisions, but stay flexible in your approach.- Tony Robbins Last week I proposed a scorecard for retirement where readers could self-assess their retirement prospects using four criteria: Understanding the maths of retirement Knowing how much you will spend Estimating how much you need to support annual spending Defining an ...

Three common sense reforms that Australia needs

Three common sense reforms that Australia needs
“I’m from the government, and I’m here to help you.” These are the most terrifying words in the English language, according to former US President Ronald Reagan. And you can see why as Australians grapple with changes to credit card surcharges. The incoming ban was supposed to save consumers $1.56 billion, but businesses such as restaurants and coffee ...

The hidden cost of government debt for investors

The hidden cost of government debt for investors
Rising government debt doesn't just affect taxpayers. It can reduce the number of takeovers, discourage corporate investment and weigh on the returns of the very blue-chip companies many investors own. Investors watch the Reserve Bank closely, and with good reason. Last month it lifted the cash rate for the fourth time this year, to 4.6%. Canberra ...

When do fundamentals matter?

When do fundamentals matter?
When people describe the reason for share price moves or shifts in bond yields, it is almost always in fundamental terms. As if every time a new piece of market-relevant information is released, investors are hurriedly updating their valuation models. This gives a pleasing sense of order to the fluctuations of financial markets, but is a poor ...

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 684

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 684
One of the less glamorous aspects of working in financial services is the sheer volume of emails you receive. Most promise market insights 'too important to ignore', which is generally a reliable sign they can be ignored immediately. I also have a habit of opening ones I probably shouldn't. Outside of phishing attempts and the occasional Nigerian ...

2026 is not 1999

2026 is not 1999
The US market is extremely concentrated, and the bears say 2026 could be 1999 all over again. As in the dot-com boom, a new technology promises to change everything and capital spending is enormous. The Magnificent 7 plus Broadcom, AMD and Micron, the ‘AI Big 10’, now account for 42% of US stock market value. At the height of the dot-com bubble in ...

Taxing time for trusts

Taxing time for trusts
Discretionary trusts have long been a cornerstone of wealth planning. Proposed tax changes may require a rethink, but not necessarily a rebuild. If your family uses a discretionary trust and a bucket company, the post-Budget headlines have been difficult to ignore: "30% minimum tax", "double taxation", and warnings of effective rates above the top ...

Why the US economy is stronger than you might think

Why the US economy is stronger than you might think
If you had told me a year ago that the United States would be waging an intractable war in the Middle East, oil prices would rise to more than $100 a barrel, interest rates would be moving sharply higher, and inflation would be running well above 3%, my forecast for the US economy would have been gloomy to say the least. Yet here we are with consensus ...